Despite industry consolidation resulting in limited expansion, deciduous fruit production is expected to grow marginally as plantings come into production. The production of apples, pears and table grapes is forecast to grow by 7 percent, 2 percent, and 8 percent respectively in MY 2023/24 based on average yield and normal weather conditions. Post foresees that South African exports of deciduous fruit in MY 2023/24 will increased due to higher production of export quality fruit. South Africa gained market access for pears to China since the signing of the food safety protocols in 2021. Domestic consumption of pears and table grapes is expected to decline in MY 2023/24 due to food inflation pressure on consumers and improved quality which will shift product towards export markets for higher returns. South Africa is self-sufficient in the production of deciduous fruits and only imports small quantities to fulfill niche markets or to satisfy demand during the off-season when supply is limited.

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